The European Journal of Comparative Economics

ISSN: 1824-2979

EJCE Year: 2008, June. Volume: 5 - Issue: 1

The Euro's Effects on Trade in a Dynamic Setting

by Sergio de Nardis ; Roberta De Santis ; Claudio Vicarelli

Start page: 73 - End page: 85

Keywords: International trade ; currency unions ; gravity models ; dynamic panel data

Jel code: F14; F4; F33; C33; F15

Abstract:

This paper provides an update on estimates of the euro effect on trade integration among EMU economies, taking into account the aggregate bilateral exports of 23 OECD countries for the sample period 1988-2004. We consider 13 exporting European countries and 23 importing industrialized countries We utilize the dynamic panel data estimator proposed by Blundell and Bond (1998) and introduce controls for heterogeneity. The results of our dynamic specification of the gravity equation yield an estimate of the short run intra-Eurozone pro-trade effect, following the adoption of the single currency, which is as high as around 4% (17% in the long run). This finding, slightly lower than the results set out in our previous studies, is in line with those of very recent empirical analyses using dynamic specification of the gravity equation. It is also consistent with the already tight trade links characterizing the economies that have adopted the euro.

View this article (PDF)

Publisher perpetually authorizes participants in the LOCKSS system to archive and restore EJCE articles through the LOCKSS System for the benefit of all LOCKSS System participants. EJCE is registered as OAI-PMH data provider. OAI - Records check.
In case of problems please write an e-mail to secretariat.ejce@liuc.it